For me it is always painful to watch our American “Democracy” at work. I’m an independent and I think that allows me to see more clearly how even when they are combined the Democrat and Republican parties fail to do a good job of representing the country in terms of ideology or action planning.
Today the Dems decide how to handle the votes in Michigan and Floriday after previously deciding to totally disenfranchise those electorates. It is certainly true that rules should matter, and true that both campaigns agreed to these rules, and Obama supporters are right to say that it’s not “fair” to allocate to Clinton votes that might have gone to Obama if Florida party hacks and national party hacks had not mangled this process, but it’s *even more unfair* to disenfranchise the Florida voters – again.
I’m guessing they’ll do the 50% allocation thing – ironically the same idea the Republicans had for rogue voting states, though presumably with far less “processing” committee time.
If they did allocate the delegates according to votes in Michigan and Florida here are some scenarios:
Michigan popular vote: 55% to Clinton, 40% Uncommitted to Obama –
Clinton gains 23 delegates.
Michigan split the uncommitted vote: 75% to Clinton, 20% Obama –
Clinton gains 85 delegates
Florida: 50% to Clinton, 33% to Obama. Clinton net gain of 36 delegates.
Thus if we count these states Clinton would gain a net of either 59 delegates or 121 delegates depending on how you allocate the Michigan uncommitted vote.
As of today 201 delegate votes (160 pledged) separate Obama and Clinton so even the rosiest picture for Clinton would still have her trailing Obama, throwing the election squarely to the superdelegates and more party hack back room wheeling and dealing.
Welcome to Democratic Democracy?
More of my views on this at President Picker