Update: Apparently, no …. !
Jason Calacanis is a clever guy, but I like to call people out when they make wild predictions that they themselves probably don’t believe.
Here, Jason predicts Google will have 90% search share in a year. I’m happy to see if he really believes his prediction and offered up this wager over at his blog:
If Google’s search market share is at or above 90% on March 6, 2009 I’ll buy you a bottle of MACALLAN 25. If below 90% you buy me a bottle.
Now, a bottle of scotch may not sound like much of a wager, but this Macallan 25 runs about $500 per bottle.
In fact I boldly started out posting him that I’d bet a whole case, but luckily checked the price and the post got stuck in his spam controls so I could revise it. I’m confident I’m right, but I guess I’m not quite 12 bottles confident! Of course if that’s the only bet Jason will take then bring on the Macallan Calacanian wager!