First, note that I’m a big fan of the concept of “The Singularity” and of Ray Kurzweil, the brilliant technological evangelist who is creating a film to introduce the concept, The Singularity is Near. However I find it more than ironic that the film is delayed. It’s not even clear from the website if it’s out yet – I think screenings at a couple of film festivals went more poorly than expected so I’m (wildly guessing) they are making some changes before widespread distribution. But in any case it was supposed to be out in 2009 and it’s not even out yet.
Nitpicky? To some extent yes, but I think a major challenge for the pro-singularity, pro-technology movement is that despite the brilliance of many advocates, we need to see a lot less talk and a lot more action. Skeptics reasonably point to a history of failed promises of artificial intelligence, where advocates like Kurzweil reasonably counter-note that you can’t call these major shots to the exact date, that there is every indication processing power will equal human brainpower very soon, and that technology is clearly advancing in exponential fashion – basically that technological progress over the last year is far greater than that of the preceding year and we can expect this accelerating rate of technological progress to continue.
Still, it’s conspicuous when somebody insisting that “The Singularity is Near” can’t get the movie launched in the year it was supposed to be out. Perhaps, Ray, your timeframes are too optimistic? I sure hope not, because I’m rooting for the singularity ASAP, but ….