When Old News is … Bad News


United Airlines stock temporarily dropped a *billion* in value, apparently on the basis of a Google news routine that surfaced an OLD bankruptcy filing story that made it to Bloomberg which then created a stir in investment circles.

Still reading the details of this story,but it looks to me like support for the idea that the stock market incorporates news in ways that can be dysfunctional.    A common misconception is that insiders are making all the money when in fact many insiders actually *cannot* trade as easily as outsiders thanks to SEC rules.  However you’d have to be naive to think that there are not many abuses in the system – mostly I think from complex, quasi-legal arbitraging of huge positions by the big players.

More Copywrong News


Liked Matt Asay’s piece today about how poorly Government is comprehending issues surrounding copyright, especially in moves to extend the times which generally have little of the intended benefits to the artists but inhibit the much more significant process of moving all the world’s information online.

He’s noting that a European Union proposal to extend copyright a whopping 45 years will net artists on average an extra $40.    I’m assuming that number does not factor in the potential for those same artists to make money from derivative works that are much less likely to see the light of day under this proposal.

Although I’m not insensitive to the idea that online folks routinely violate copyright rules, and unlike many people I always groan when web 2.0 folks pretend that widespread unfair use is not common, it is also clear that the copycat is out of the bag and the most functional responses now are to develop systems that make sure artists can *track* and *claim ownership* when their works are used to make *other people money*.   ie I think we need to move away from models that restrict use into models that *encourage* uses and derivative works but give the original artists powerful tools to claim ownership and claim a piece of the action if their derivative works are used to make money.

Sure, there are pitfalls here but the original idea of copyright is now obsolete, yet we keep trying to fit the new pegs into the old holes.

TechCrunch 50 – winners or losers?


You won’t know what these companies are up to from the names, but soon most of the TechCrunch 50 startups will be online:  http://www.techcrunch50.com/2008/conference/presenters.php

Thanks to live streaming of the conference it’s almost like I’m watching / listening right now.

I still think that the startup ecosystem is wildly unpredictable, and more like an evolutionary process where the losers drop out and winners bubble up as a result of processes that effectively swamp out factors under the direct control of the players.    Google, Yahoo, Myspace, Facebook and most of the huge success stories with online technologies not at all the product of tight, rational, “follow-your-perfect-biz-models”, instead their success were the product of social forces as much as technological ones or tech implementations at the companies.    I think this is even more likely as the number of new internet companies has mushroomed from hundreds per year to tens of thousands.

Of course the TechCrunch 50 is not simply a selection process.   By exposing the companies to key players representing billions in prospective venture capital, it is a surprise that virtually all of these companies don’t enjoy at least modest success.   This is only year two so it’s not clear how last year’s companies will fare ove time though early indications seem to suggest … not that much better than other startups.

TechCrunch 50 Startups, Live Feed, and … Ashton Kutcher?


TechCrunch 50 began today.  It is the brainchild of Jason Calacanis and Mike Arrington of the TechCrunch blog and is by far the world’s most influential startup conference, effectively eclipsing “Demo” in terms of buzz and influence.    Judges include some amazing folks like Marissa Mayer of Google, Mark Cuban, and many more luminaries of the startup world.   Unlike Demo where you pay about 18,000 to strut your startup stuff, TechCrunch 50 is free to those startups chosen to participate and offers other “Web 2.0” sensibilities I really like.   52 startups will debut at the conference and in a KUDO MOVE they are live streaming the entire conferece here:   TC 50 live stream

Arrington and Calacanis are really exceptional BuzzMeisters.    One of the startups they are showcasing was allowed to announce it beforehand, unlike those of the unknowns.    Blah Girls, by Ashton Kutcher and his hollywood production partner, promises to be … ?

Note:  I can claim the prestige – or lack thereof – as a TechCrunch 50 loser as our Retirement project failed to make the final 50 out of over 1000 applicants for spots at the conference.   We could have gone into their demo pit – a discounted version of normal conference attendance where you still get access to the key players and get to show your stuff – but we opted out of that.  Retire USA won’t officially launch for several months as we’ve slowed our project development but we still promise a great website, blog, and resource for retirement lifestyle planning at any age.

Oregon Coast Highway 101 – The Pacific Coast National Scenic Byway


Whenever I travel out of Oregon, which is pretty often,  I can’t help but make comparisons with the geography in other states and countries.    Although I’m a big fan of California which is a lot like Oregon, and a fan of the longer detailed histories you’ll find in other countries and states, it’s very hard to find things to compare with the natural splendor of the things we’ve got right here in my very favorite state.

The most recognizable natural wonders here are the Oregon Coast and Crater Lake National Park (Crater Lake NP is featured on the official Oregon Quarter!).   Crater Lake is spectacular as are the sweeping mountains, rivers and cityscapes but I think the most unique feature of Oregon is our 363 miles of unspoiled, almost 100% gorgeous coastline.    In fairness to other states with great coasts Oregon lacks the warmth of, say, a Waikiki or even Los Angeles beach, but we make up for that with scenery that is unmatched anywhere on earth.   Over at the Oregon Coast blog I’m starting to post pictures of the coast with comments and hoping to get some guests adding their own take on our wonderful Oregon Coast.

The Oregon Coast Mile by Mile Website is from the Official Printed Guide to the Oregon Coast and covers every city along the coast as well as attractions, hotels, and more:

Astoria to Seaside
Cannon Beach to Manzanita
Manzanita to Tillamook
Tillamook to Lincoln City
Lincoln City to Newport
Newport to Yachats
Yachats to Florence
Florence to North Bend
Coos Bay to Port Orford
Port Orford to California

Cape Arago Highway
Highway 6
Three Capes Loop Highway

Matt Cutts from Google


Matt Cutts at the Google Dance
Originally uploaded by JoeDuck

It’s always great to get a chance to talk to Matt Cutts at search conferences though I didn’t have any good complicated search questions to bug him about this year. Matt is one of the early Google folks and arguably the most knowledgeable search expert in the world since he’s one of the few people who knows the Google algorithm inside out. Matt’s actually listed on the key Google search patent.

Today I noticed that Matt’s post about Google Chrome is near the top at Techmeme after some early reports suggested Google was going to nab all the info people created via use of the Chrome browser. Although I do not worry about Google stealing the content I create using their tools I was surprised in the discussion at Matt’s blog to see how people probably do not understand how much of your data from searches, emails, and other online tools is analyzed by search engines, ISPs, and probably at least a few government agencies. I wrote over there:

Well, I’m sure folks like Marshall knew that Google was not out to steal content. What people should be as concerned about is how the Chrome datastream will be processed now and over time, and how open will it be to examination by companies for advertising purposes ? Personally I’m OK with that but I think many people are not, and the lack of transparency in this area bothers me.

Somebody even suggested I was foolish to think they’d use Chrome data to target advertising, to which I replied:

Josh – you are naive to assume Google does so little with the search term data they explicitly say they have the right to collect. In Gmail, for example, some portion of your header is read by Google (probably just the title and not the content) so that ads can be targeted to you on those topics. Google Toolbar collects a lot of information and my understanding this helps target PPC advertisements though I’m not sure about that. As i noted I’m personally OK with this level of snooping, but I believe Google should make it much clearer what they do with the data they collect and probably also have options so users can delete any information they created – including their search streams – as they see fit.

Google’s “Google Chrome” Browser


Update:  Google Chrome is now available.   I’m only starting to test it but it seems very, very fast, intuitive, and impressive.

——–  earlier ———–

Google will soon launch an internet browser in what promises to be one of the most significant online developments in some time.  Based on the comic book intro they’ve used to warm up users to the new application, Google Chrome will effectively turn the browser into an operating system.    Perhaps the most significant change is that Chrome will open new tabbed windows for each application it runs (much like MS Windows).    This feature should help isolate problems during browsing and Google says it will create a superior environment for running the many embedded applications that are now part of a typical browsing session.    I’m not clear yet if this is fundamentally different from opening several internet explorer or FireFox browser windows which is also fairly typical.

In any case Google’s entry into the browser market is likely to shake up the online landscape, where only FireFox and Microsoft IE Explorer have any significant market share at about 20% for FF and about 79% for Microsoft IE.    Google promotions of Firefox have been largely responsible for it’s success, so it’ll be interesting to watch how this move affects the browser equation.

Browser software does not monetize directly, but since it is the gateway to the internet it’s a key part of the online revenue equation.   Were it not for the antitrust lawsuits against Microsoft it is almost certain that MS would have a much greater search market share as they could have made it much more difficult for users to change their search choices and could have taken advantage of the integration of the browser and the Windows operating system.   Thanks to the rules imposed in the Microsoft lawsuits and Google’s superior search, Google has been eating Microsoft’s search lunch for years.   This move, unless it backfires, will consolidate Google’s search dominance at the expense of MS and to a much lesser extent Firefox, which is an open source non-profit but also makes tens of millions each year from Google search revenues which are likely to diminish as people move to Google Chrome.

Oregon Coast


Oregon’s Coast


Oregon Coast
Originally uploaded by anneh632

Oregon!   It’s about time to do a website and blog dedicated to my favorite state, Oregon, and there is no better place to start than with a series of posts about the Oregon Coast.    The blog will have some of the most frequently updated insider travel content in the state, and I’m hoping to get some of the photographers and fellow Oregonians (or other travel friends) to add posts and comments.

I’ll start with my profile of the Oregon Coast, Oregon’s most globally recognized feature and arguably the USA’s most beautiful coastline.   Although the Washington Coastline is pretty, in my pretty well informed travel opinion only the California Coast compares to Oregon’s.   In fact geologically the California and Oregon Coast are similar in structure and scenery from about Santa Cruz to Astoria (disagreements are welcome in the comments!).    Oregon however lacks the warmth of the long sandy beaches you’ll find around places like Santa Barbara, Los Angeles and San Diego.    Still, for pure coastal scenery I’d vote for Oregon over California, though I’d have to admit that the Big Sur area around Carmel, California might tip the hat over our great Oregon Coast in a tiebreaker for some people.

I should also note that part of this Oregon Experience adventure, especially the Oregon Coast part, is an attempt to better understand how Google will rank my Oregon website and blog.    Theoretically Google is interested in ranking the “best resources” at the top of the listings and for terms like “Oregon Coast” they have done a fairly good job to date, though as with most geographical references Google omits a lot of websites and pages that a person would likely want to see if search provided user optimal results.   The algorithm continues to heavily weight the appearance of the keyword in the content combined with an increasing number of incoming links (known as IBLs or “In Bound Links” in search optimizing circles)  that have the query term e.g. “Oregon Coast”.   A major challenge for Google is that a few years ago a huge industry sprung up buying and selling links as webmasters realized that the fastest way to optimize a website was to buy links at pages with high “pagerank” values.    This led to a very severe crackdown by Google and many changes to the algorithm in an attempt to ferret out paid links that were bought for ranking rather than traffic purposes (yes, the definition of “paid link” remains contentious), penalize sites that were ranked well due to paid links, and use of the “nofollow” tag which is a webmaster’s signal to Google that the link with that tag is not to send “authority” to the linked website.

Although buying links for pagerank will work in some cases to improve site rankings, it is such a risky strategy that almost anybody reading this post should NOT do this.   Rather I’d recommend you focus your attention on creating blogs related to your topic with highly relevant content and participating in the massive shift to online social networking which, when it stablizes in a few years, will lead to ranking algorithms that work much better than the current ones, based on real online voting patterns rather than Google’s initial brilliancy-that-no-longer-works-well which was to count links as “votes” for a website.

President Shaakasvilli on Zakaria’s CNN Global Public Square. Russia – Georgia Conflict


CNN’s Global Public Square is featuring the crisis in Georgia, where Russian troops continue to occupy parts of Georgia despite international concerns about the situation.

President Shaakashvili is a very appealing figure who took over leadership of Georgian in the non-violent “rose rebellion” which was spawned by the corruption during the Shevardnadzi Presidency, the first after Georgia’s independence from Russia.     He speaks five languages and attended US universities.  These western sensibilities make Shaakasvilli a powerful advocate for western intervention to stop Russia’s aggression even as Russia continues to maintain that they are responding to the desires of oppressed peopel in South Ossetia.

Russia’s justification for their invasion and desire to annex the Georgia provinces known as “South Ossetia” appears to be ongoing conflict there between Georgia loyalists and those who want South Ossetia to break away from Georgia  (not clear if those insurgents want to be part of Russia or just want Russian help to break away).

I’ve not studied this issue enough but it appears to me that Russia is doing a complicated dance here, trying to take over these provinces before Georgia becomes part of NATO next year  (which would make the Russian invasion almost equivalent to an act of war against the west) and testing Western resolve to intercede on behalf of Georgia early in the process and while the US remains entangled in other interventions around the globe.    It’s a high stakes game that Russia appears to be “winning” so far.

Here in America our attention seems to be focused mostly on the Presidential Election and the Iraq War, even as many other parts of the world fall into greater instability than we’ve seen in some time.    Georgia is reviving the cold war tensions many thought were behind us while Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal could fall into the hands of very unstable and hostile forces.    Even Afghanistan is reeling under renewed violence from a Taliban insurgency strengthened over the past few years as international attention has focused elsewhere.

Obama?   McCain?    Are you sure you want the big job?

Interesting set of blog posts by Nadja1, a contractor on the oil pipeline