Singularity Institute


Given my recent almost obsessive interest in the coming Artificial Intelligence revolution I don’t know how I missed hearing about the recent Singularity Conference in Palo Alto, let alone missed hearing about the Singularity Institute.

Thankfully they’ve recorded all the talks so I’ll participate virtually when those go online.

I’ve been wondering why there has been so little fuss about the implications of a robust AI entity, since it seems fairly obvious to me that it will quickly dwarf our feeble human intellectual capacity and therefore usher in a new and very promising era of efficiency, hindered only by the human tendency to be skeptical of key innovations.   My working assumption based on talking with (mostly highly educated) folks is that AI “detractors” fall into two basic groups – the first is by far the largest and composed of those that are basically ignorant about how technology has affected human development over the past few thousand years.    They simply have not spent much time reflecting on how technology has been the key driver of humanity, especially over the past century as the industrial revolution and globalization have been the dominant forces shaping our economic, political, and societal landscapes.    The second group are those that are more familiar than I with programming and technology, are generally very accepting of how technology is revolutionizing the world, yet remain skeptical of the implications of the coming conscious computing and robust AI revolution.     I’m still puzzling over this but think it may be related to a failure to understand the limitations of human biology and neuroscience.   Even a brilliant computer programmer can be a prisoner to the notion that the human brain and human intellect  somehow remain “outside” of normal mechanistic explanations.  Programmers, especially those with religious leanings, may find it hard to accept the insignificance of our human intellects until the machines are already making this abundantly, and sometimes painfully, obvious.

The good news is that unlike previous sea change technologies a massively smart AI will be able to lobby for and explain why the innovations it will bring to the table are in the best interests of humanity, and presumably will quickly gain the wisdom needed to “outwit” those who will immediately and irrationally argue against human interaction with machine intelligences.

Transhumans of the world … unite!


The Transhumanist Association gathered last month in Chicago to discuss issues relating to the idea that humans are in the process of evolving from organic beings to a sort of machine/organic hybridized animal that will have spectacular mental abilities and will effectively attain immortality when Artificial Intelligence routines are sufficiently developed.

Sound a bit crazy to you? In my opinion this techno-hybridization of our species is already happening, and the process of integrating biology and technology has been going on pretty much since the beginning of tool use by primates. Corneal transplants and lasik surgery, for example, are fairly significant modifications and enhancements to our “natural”capabilities. Artificial organs even more so. Use a computer lately? This is just another of many ways we use technology as an interface between our human intellect and non-human helping devices.

Sure it’s another step forward to have our brains getting downloaded or to have neurons integrated with chips (lots of neat experiments are going on with this organic / silicon stuff now), but it’s not to be feared. Rather we should embrace the potential here to solve many of the most pressing problems of the world – problems like global poverty, warfare, and health that we often fail to adequately address, let alone solve.

Here’s a nice article about the Transhumanist conference

Kurzweil’s newsletter noted that one of the provocative notions at the conference, from Sirius Satellite founder Martine Rothblatt

… The idea is that people should be creating digital mindfiles throughout their
lives that could be used to revive them by means of mindware when
sufficiently strong artificial intelligence is developed …

Wow, how’s THAT for an Attention based economy? More like an Attention based Jean Paul Sartre “Being and Nothingness” philosophizing extravaganza. Cool. Count me in.

Pennsylvania Penses


Several questions have come up on this PA trip.  What better way to remember the questions and (as I find them) the answers than to … blog them:

How do Evening Primroses work?

What puts the fire in a firefly / lightening bug?

What is a Township?

What is a Pike?

Why is the bizarre Trojan War art exhibit at the Philadelphia Museum of Art considered a significant contribution to contemporary art rather than just “silly”.

Amish Country, Pennsylvania


We are winding up our trip to Pennsyvania and the New Jersey Shore here in Lancaster, the heart of Pennsylvania Dutch Country. Sunday is kind of a “slow” day here because the tourism is very much geared to Amish themes and real Amish folks go to church and take a day of rest, doing only essential chores on Sunday. We did pass a lot of buggies today on their way to and from Churches in the area.

Tomorrow we’ll drive to Intercourse and Paradise and there will be folks tilling their fields with horse drawn plows, vegetable stands tended by kids in bonnets and hats, and hopefully some time to chat with folks for whom time has largely stood still, in a technological sense, for over a century.

[where: lancaster, PA]

Atlantic City


OK, here we are in one of America’s top travel destinations – Atlantic City New Jersey – but I’m having some trouble figuring out exactly what we should do tomorrow.   The New Jersey State Tourism website leaves a lot to be desired as it seems to want to lump all of Jersey together in the same format which makes Atlantic City and Camden of comparable tourism worth.    Bureaucratically and politically correct but near worthless when you are planning travel.    Of course an advantage here is that you are not pestered with advertising and pitches while you try to pick through the bland “politically correct” descriptions to decide what’s the “best stuff” here in New Jersey. New Jersey Tourism official site.

After some surfing the gameplan will be generally to head into Atlantic City and walk around on the boardwalk looking for neat shops and restaurants and swim a bit on the beach, which is miles long and hopefully home to some good sized waves and mild water.  The next day we’ll head out to Cape May, the point of land at the south of the Jersey Shore where you can take the Cape May Ferry to Delaware.

Atlantic City’s site is more informative, though I was hoping for more specific info about family related activities.     We are staying in Absecon about 5 miles from the Boardwalk and the big Casinos which now seem to dominate the Atlantic City scene.    I think I was here about 35 years ago on a family trip but certainly don’t remember much.

Atlantic City Tourism official site

New Jersey Tourism official site

Online Highways – New Jersey 

Marc – Got Blogs?


Marc Andreessen has been posting some very thoughtful and helpful blog stuff since his recent blogmeistering debut, and today’s post about his lessons from five weeks of blogging is no exception – it’s a great article about why blogging matters a lot more than most people realize, and why we have a lot of work to do to improve the sport.

The most provocative idea is something I’ve been puzzling over for some time – how can blogging evolve from the current form to one where the conversations are more interactive and equal, and can more actively include non-bloggers? I don’t mean equal in the sense everybody gets equal space or attention or time, rather in the sense that great comments on blogs are now relegated to far too low a status. Many “A list” bloggers hardly comment at all unless they are attacked or challenged, making it too difficult to get a spirited conversation going about many of the most important topics.

Marc has even stopped the comments at his blog due to junk comments and spam. Understandable but unfortunate because I’m less likely to read posts when I can’t get in my 2 cents in the comments. Trackbacks are good for people like me with blogs, but unless the topic is something I’m really interested in I won’t want to do a whole post about Marc’s interest du jour.

So, what is the solution to creating better blog engagement for all? I still think it’s some form of hybrid between blogging and forums where topics evolve through participation and then all participants have simple ways to engage in the conversation, and if necessary to disengage from spurious comments.

Gabe at Techmeme solves some of these problems by having his routine choose “newsworthy” items and then showing other blogs that have linked to the main posts.   This allows ‘second tier’ blogs to be featured along with the ‘top tiers’, helping to showcase the value of the topic and the conversation that surrounds it.

Technorati, the brilliant blog search engine, brings a lot to the table but to my way of thinking has not really solved the key challenge of blog conversational engagement.   Technorati APIs may have created the groundwork for the perfect application and perhaps Dave himself will develop the “golden mean” approach to navigate the blogs and the conversations that surround them.

Cousins


My cousin Judy Glick-Smith is blogging now which is great.   We’ve got a warm and wonderful family rooted in the fertile Shenandoah Valley of Virginia – now spread out over most states and several countries.   With 48 first cousins and all their kids, plus our celebrated older generation, our reunions get pretty busy.   This year we’ll gather near Lancaster PA at Black Rock, a really nice retreat center owned by the Mennonites.

Now, if we could only get more of the cousins and their kids blogging I think we might be able to influence the elections.   Of course the problem might be that the family politics run from far left to far right so I’m not how our collective opinion would shake out.  But one think I love about this family is that family rises above politics.   Well, at least 80% of the time and the rest is spent in fun arguments.

Oregon Travel: Weekend Getaways I


My pal asked for some weekend getaway advice for Southern Oregon.
He had a tall order:

Old, quaint hotel or a cabin
Not too expensive
In or near a town with at least one or two decent restaurants, maybe a coffee house.
Hiking and swimming near
Town Festival a bonus
Not too far from free WiFi

You can’t find all that anywhere I know, but here are some possible nice family spots:

Odell Lake Lodge, No. Klamath. About 3 hours from here this is my families favorite “local” overnight though we usually go in winter. Boating and (cold) swimming in Lake, really nice, small cozy lodge, hiking all around, very good food at the restaurant lodge. I think no internet. Kind of secluded in the woods. No WIFI at our last stay – March of 06.
http://www.odelllakeresort.com

Prospect Inn up 62 on way to Crater Lake, which itself has some new cabins I think, though they probably won’t be cheap. Crater Lake Lodge is expensive and probably full but it’s worth a stay sometime. Prob no WIFI

Oregon Caves Lodge – rooms are pretty rustic but this is really a *cool* lodge in my opinion and your son will love the cave tour. Lots of great hiking nearby and good food at the lodge though I’m not sure if they have all 3 meals there. OregonCaves.com (one of my sites!). No WIFI

Coast: I’m not up on many of the lodges over there. Best Western on the beach in Brookings is nice.. (there is also one on 101 that is nice but not on water), Windermere in Bandon, Inn at Face Rock. For coast consider a house rental. Search “Oregon Coast home rentals” to bring up a bunch.

SunRiver – fancy lodge and nice houses, can be expensive depending on time of year and availability. Great hiking very near. Bend is 15 miles away and it’s a beautiful small city.

I’ve left out some of the best places to stay if you are coming to the Rogue Valley because I live here and don’t stay overnight in Jacksonville, Medford, Ashland, Grants Pass. Weasku Inn, for example, is one of the nicest lodges in the West and a former haunt of Clark Gable.

Here is more Oregon Travel detail at Online Highways

Kim Search blog gathering


Yesterday we had a very enjoyable breakfast at the Galice Resort with some of the folks who made the blog so interesting during the search for the Kim family up in the Rogue River Wilderness. I’ll put up some pictures soon though I only took a few along the route because this set of pictures, taken about 3 months back, was so good.

At breakfast we had Bob Hollenbeck and his wife Sue, John Rachor, Sara (JoCoSAR), and Emily (RogueRiverRat78)

John, who was spotted Kati and the girls, flew in and out in his Chopper.

After breakfast Emily and Sara took me all the way up to where the Kims had stopped the car and became snowed in, and many miles before that where James had made the fateful decision to head down into Big Windy Canyon. Phew – that is a quite a road up there when you take the BLM 34-8-36 (which may be named differently depending on the local person you talk to). This is the right turn they took after backing up from snow on the route NF23 which does go over to Gold Beach. The gate to BLM 34-8-36 is NOW LOCKED on the BLM road that heads off to the right, and I understand that the BLM plans to keep it locked all season. There was a rock cairn and picture of James on one of the posts as a memorial that had been placed recently there.

The pictures can’t really convey how steep Big Windy Canyon is where you head down off the road, and my windy tour with Emily and Sara made it clearer to me how hard it was to get people in there to search, how huge the search area was, and how difficult the searching would have been in those conditions. Bob Hollenbeck wants to take an onstar up there this summer to see if it’ll work.

Another thing that became very clear to me was how difficult the search was made by the false reports of sightings of the family, including ones way over in Gold Beach. This made it very hard to narrow the search area.

John Rachor’s excellent warning sign was up near the left turn off of Galice Road and up into the high country but in my opinion it’s unfortunate he had to move it back from where it was. I’m a lot more familiar with that area than any tourist would be and it’s still pretty darn confusing with respect to signage. That said, we now know Kati and James made a decision to back up from the Forest Service 23 after they hit snow and take the lower road. Better signs would have helped keep them off this road, but it was not signage that got them to take this “wrong road”.

At the car site little was left from the Kim’s extraordinary challenge of facing 9 days there with little food. The fire area had been scraped mostly clear – it was about 50 yards from where the car was which was near the middle of the intersection of 3 roads.

Sara spotted a red package way up in the bushes which turned out to be an emergency blanket that had been dropped after Kati was found but before they could pick her up.

All in all an amazing day yesterday where I got a much better idea of the scale of this search and the difficulties faced by Kati, James, and their family. I can’t thank Emily and Sara enough for a remarkable tour of the area that seemed so oddly familiar even though I’d never been there. On the *long* way back to Galice up and down that windy road it was even clearer to me how James Kim would be OK with the outcome of his personal tragedy – his family is safe and is going to be fine.

Know your Senators!


Here’s a great list from Wikipedia.org of US Senators with info pages for each one.  Contrary to what many think, even national politicians are pretty easy to meet if you are a constituent of theirs and attend local events where they are speaking (these seem to be most common in the year before an election),  or visit the local office or visit Washington D.C. while they are in session.   I’d say D.C. is the worst way to try to meet your Senator since they’ll be super busy there.

AL: Shelby (R), Sessions (R)
AK: Stevens (R), Murkowski (R)
AZ: McCain (R), Kyl (R)
AR: Lincoln (D), Pryor (D)
CA: Feinstein (D), Boxer (D)
CO: Allard (R), Salazar (D)
CT: Dodd (D), Lieberman (ID)
DE: Biden (D), Carper (D)
FL: Nelson (D), Martinez (R)
GA: Chambliss (R), Isakson (R)
HI: Inouye (D), Akaka (D)
ID: Craig (R), Crapo (R)
IL: Durbin (D), Obama (D) IN: Lugar (R), Bayh (D)
IA: Grassley (R), Harkin (D)
KS: Brownback (R), Roberts (R)
KY: McConnell (R), Bunning (R)
LA: Landrieu (D), Vitter (R)
ME: Snowe (R), Collins (R)
MD: Mikulski (D), Cardin (D)
MA: Kennedy (D), Kerry (D)
MI: Levin (D), Stabenow (D)
MN: Coleman (R), Klobuchar (D)
MS: Cochran (R), Lott (R)
MO: Bond (R), McCaskill (D) MT: Baucus (D), Tester (D)
NE: Hagel (R), Nelson (D)
NV: Reid (D), Ensign (R)
NH: Gregg (R), Sununu (R)
NJ: Lautenberg (D), Menendez (D)
NM: Domenici (R), Bingaman (D)
NY: Schumer (D), Clinton (D)
NC: Dole (R), Burr (R)
ND: Conrad (D), Dorgan (D)
OH: Voinovich (R), Brown (D)
OK: Inhofe (R), Coburn (R)
OR: Wyden (D), Smith (R) PA: Specter (R), Casey (D)
RI: Reed (D), Whitehouse (D)
SC: Graham (R), DeMint (R)
SD: Johnson (D), Thune (R)
TN: Alexander (R), Corker (R)
TX: Hutchison (R), Cornyn (R)
UT: Hatch (R), Bennett (R)
VT: Leahy (D), Sanders (I)
VA: Warner (R), Webb (D)
WA: Murray (D), Cantwell (D)
WV: Byrd (D), Rockefeller (D)
WI: Kohl (D), Feingold (D)
WY: Vacant, Enzi (R)