SES San Jose


I’ll be covering the big Search Engine Strategy Conference in San Jose – SES San Jose – again this year. SES San Jose is August 18-22 and is always a fire hose of interesting information, though the highlight is often the enormous party at the Googleplex with a buffet dinner and “meet the engineers” session.

This is the world’s top Search Engine Conference started many years ago under the guidance of Danny Sullivan who is now working his own search conference series, SMX.

SES San Jose official website

Analysts Drinking Badly: Kindle Profit Nonsense


This incomprehensibly strange analysis of the potential for the Kindle strains the technological imagination.   The idea that this device doesn’t suck is foolish enough, but more importantly it can’t possibly have half the sales of the wildly popular iPOD, which debuted to considerably more positive press than the Kindle.

I think the problem is the notion that average folks might buy a Kindle.  They *might* buy a smartphone someday and probably will buy a computer, but they won’t be buying many Kindles.

Is there evidence that people really are buying Kindles?    Actually, very little.  Amazon has very conspicuously decided not to share sales stats, so only rumors have fueled speculation that Kindles are flying off Amazon’s warehouse shelves in numbers approaching the 55,000 used in the above mentioned crazy analysis.

Yes, it is possible that Amazon is making a killing with the Kindle and that they have chosen to remain very quiet about this, but it’s pretty darn unlikely.    I’d guess these things really are happening:   1) They are stockpiling in the hopes this will be a 2008 Christmas hit (it will not) and 2) they are promoting the heck out of this at Amazon.com trying to build a market (this will fail) and 3) they are engaging in somewhat deceptive practices to maintain the pretense these are selling lots of Kindles and will sell a lot of them in the futurel (this may not even be legal as SEC rules don’t look favorably on things that could be seen as mechanisms of stock price manipulation).

Bill Richardson calls us “Ore-Gone” … twice. NO VP FOR YOU!


Bill Richardson is one of the short listed guys for an Obama VP, and he’s been a vocal supporter of Obama.   However I’m listening to Richardson on CNN right now talking about upcoming primaries and mispronouncing our state name with very reckless abandon.     

I’ve always been sympathetic to the fact that many people how have not visited Oregon might call us Ore-Gone, and I forgive relatives who can’t seem to get it right even after they’ve been told many times how to pronounce the name.   Also I fortive Wisconsonites who are used to the city of Oregon, WI which generally is pronounced “Ore-Gone”.

But Come on BILL RICHARDSON!   You are Governor of a nearby state and have run for President and could *be* President some day.    At the VERY FRICKING LEAST I think a Presidential aspirant should be able to pronounce all the state names accurately.    Is that too much to ask?   

So, until you get your Oregons straight I say  NO VP FOR YOU!

Website Smackdown: www.Ping-Pong.com


Sure I’m guilty of having some bad websites but I can’t resist smacking down ping-pong.com, a textbook case of how NOT to make a sales website.  After many frustrating attempts to find and order things I have been consistently thwarted by a bizarre combination of poor navigation and illogical structure.   The key problem with this site is that the company is often out of supplies, but has failed to integrate their inventory very effectively into the navigation.   Thus you need to click the tiny “inventory” link to find that … they pretty much don’t have what you are probably looking for – the things they’ve been listing elsewhere at the site as if they do have them.    I need some Table Tennis shoes, which are light and grippy and will hopefully will help me beat my good pals Charley and Kevin, both of whom already have table tennis shoes.   Here’s the inventory I found after clicking around for some time:

DS40-35 3.5 (USA/Canada) Available
DS40-36 4.5 (USA/Canada) Out of Stock – do not order this
product at this time
DS40-37 5 (USA/Canada) Out of Stock – do not order this
product at this time
DS40-38 6 (USA/Canada) Out of Stock – do not order this
product at this time
DS40-39 7 (USA/Canada) Out of Stock – do not order this
product at this time
DS40-40 7.5 (USA/Canada) Out of Stock – do not order this
product at this time
DS40-41 8.5 (USA/Canada) Out of Stock – do not order this
product at this time
DS40-42 9 (USA/Canada) Out of Stock – do not order this
product at this time
DS40-43 10 (USA/Canada) Out of Stock – do not order this
product at this time
DS40-44 10.5 (USA/Canada) Out of Stock – do not order this
product at this time
DS40-45 11.5 (USA/Canada) Out of Stock – do not order this
product at this time
DS40-46 12 (USA/Canada) Out of Stock – do not order this
product at this time

So, unless you are under 8 years old and surfing the site for this shoe you are out of luck.   Why not integrate the inventory such that people don’t have this extra step?     The one time I did buy from Ping-pong.com it took about 6 back and forth emails to finally find out they were OUT of what I wanted because in that case the inventory listings made it look like they did have it.   Thus they are wasting their time and mine as well as dropping orders and customers.    Easy to fix?   Of course it should be – they only feature a few thousand total products and therefore should be able to list inventory *on the same screens* as those that feature the products, saving the step and misunderstanding.  

So, NO SHOES FOR JOE, and thus I’ll have to struggle to beat Charley and Kevin.

Earthquakes and Cyclones are a small part of a much more tragic story


Some would say it’s cruel or inappropriate to suggest that the big tragedies are the daily death toll from disease and malnutritioon even more than the horrible scenes we’ve been seeing on TV from Burma/Myanmar and China as a result of the Cyclone and the earthquake that will take between 100,000 and 150,000 lives when all the reports are in.  

However I’m compelled to point that out because TV news and our own human inadequacies at processing math and information mean that the silent catastrophes of easily preventable diseases – which kill some 20,000-30,000 people per day – are the real catastrophes on this planet yet they go largely unreported and ignored because we focus our attention on the spectacular problems rather than the more pressing ones or interesting ones.     You don’t have to trivialiize the tragic loss of life in violent conflicts or natural disasters to recognize that there is a *far greater* loss of life in the day to day problems we largely ignore.   No, these do not “keep those populations in check” as some poorly informed folks suggest.  On the contrary rising the standard of living is one of the surest ways to reduce birth rates barring the draconian type of approach taken in China with the “one family one child” policy which has also worked.

What would work to a solution to the real tragedies?  First, we need to do a little math and recognize that the daily death tolls from preventable, solvable problems are huge compared to the death tolls from the things many people worry a lot about yet cannot influence much (Middle East Conflicts) if at all (Earthquakes).  

After recognizing we can save millions of people *monthly* from a shift in resources we need to view national security in broader terms, recognizing that a greater measure of global stability – the primary goal of our US military projection throughout the world – would be more easily attained with strategic spending on simple and preventable education and disease programs combined with a modest marketing program to make sure those assisted recognize who the good guys really are.     Currently the USA spends a subtantial amount (though it is tiny compared to our capacity) helping fight poverty the third world.  Yet we get little if any credit for this.   Unfortunate because this does not inspire more of the type of assistance that creates global win-win situation where people can thrive and the US can help maintain global stability at a fraction of the cost of military approaches.

Why aren’t others seeing this?    US politics have created a crisis of economic and military stupidity.   Liberals insist – naively and with little research to back them up – that globalized corporate capitalism hurts the poor more than it helps them.    There are regional exceptions, but if you look around you note that where there are multinational skyscrapers and multinational influence (New York, Hong Kong) there is … a lot more prosperity and a lot less poverty than where global business is banned (Myanmar, North Korea).

Meanwhile most conservatives remain sadly and stupidly hypocritical when it comes to funding our bloated military, which currently accounts for well over half of all global spending.  People who should know how to balance a checkbook abandon all fiscal reason in an ego and emotionally driven fervor to fund every weapon they can get their hands on, often leaving veterans to fend for themselves where this type of spending is clearly an essential obligation of the country to support those who have served.

COMMENTS are VERY WELCOME, even if you think I’m totally full of sh** on this!   

Myanmar Cyclone, China Earthquake


The Cyclone in Myanmar and tragic earthquake in China will take over 100,000 lives.   I don’t really have much to say but it seemed cold not to mention these events here at the blog, especially with all my jolly posts about the recent trip to China.     Here’s hoping the Burmese Government opens up to international aid.  Their reluctance to do so is having the opposite of their intended effect – people will now realize how poorly that Government looks after their own people.

More from China is here at the Shanghaiist Blog

 

 

Tuscany Travel


I have not been to Tuscany, Italy in some time but it seems many of my friends go there often and everybody loves it.    My pal Dan has a new website about Travel to Tuscany called “Talk Tuscany” and you’ll want to check it out if you are planning a trip to that region.

Keith’s got WonderfulItaly.com which is a more general introduction to Italy.  Anne and Keith have taught classes at Sienna, one of the most historic cities of Italy.

 

 

eee PC problems and recovery using memory stick


When my ASUS eee PC was stuck in the endless boot loop (failure to boot) I managed to use the memory stick formatting method to recover the system, though this scrubbed all my files and restored the computer to original state.  

NOTE:  You may be able to access the system restore by hitting F9.   Jab at it constantly after rebooting or you are likely to miss the window of opportunity.  

If this fails the general USB method of eee PC recovery for Linux systems went like this for me:

FORMATTING memory stick:
Put the eeePC recovery CD in a separate computer.
Plug in a USB stick
Bring up the eee PC disk and click “Utilities”
Select ASUS Unix Flash Utility
Select “Format”    You’ll be prompted to pull and reinsert the memory stick.
Select “retry” after reinserting the memory stick.

REBOOTING:
Put the USB stick in the eee PC
Now you’ll need to start the eeePC and hit F2 a lot.   It may take a few attempts but eventually you’ll bring up the bios settings.  
Change the “boot” setting to use the USB stick.    I also wound up selecting and then disabling the hard disk before this worked, which took several attempts.
 

 

 

eee PC Problems


My initial favorable reaction to my eeePC, which I used as a lightweight travel computer on the China trip, has turned sour after a serious crash left me in the “booting loop” described by others.   Although the problem was fixed after a couple attempts using a memory stick formatted with the eeePC on another computer, I lost about 200 pictures from Hong Kong.    The initial plan was to backup those using Flickr but I could not get the linux uploader to work on the eeePC, so in some ways this has been a sort of “two strikes”  lesson on the perils of using the eeePC as a travel machine.     I’ll do a separate post in a minute to describe the recovery process, which may be a big problem in the future given some recent indications that flash memory drives are not nearly as reliable as normal disk drives.

Yahoo Microsoft – the Sequel?


TechCrunch is reporting that Microsoft has “excused” the proposed slate of new Yahoo board members telling them that they won’t be needed anymore.    I don’t think this tells us much if anything about the status of a new deal which rumors suggest may come from the Yahoo board’s concern over losing…billions of dollars.

I think MS is just playing this very smart.  These little measures are designed to get the current Yahoo board to rethink their folly.   I think only Jerry was dead set against the merger and the rest of the board would have settled for 35 or even 34 per share.   Why wouldn’t they?   Yahoo has been languishing for years, and the chance of getting back to 34 *without Microsoft* is fairly slim in the coming lean advertising years, not to mention the fact that low morale, challenges at the company, and the declining prospects with Microsoft may take the stock even lower.

Yahoo should have sold at 33 and I think they will almost certainly sell at 35 due to pressure from Shareholders and (more importantly) heavily vested board members who are “losing”, collectively, several billion dollars by sticking to their guns in this.